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By: one million words, Pete Jahn
Feb 01 2013 11:20am
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Hammie’s The State of the Program for February 1st

This series is an ongoing tribute to Erik “Hamtastic” Friborg.
 

In the News this Week:

Bannings!: Wizards has updated the Banned and Restricted list, and there are some changes. Details and rational here. Standard is unchanged, but Modern has been shaken, not stirred. Bloodbraid Elf and Seething Song are both banned. That kills (or at least significantly neuters) two of the decks I have been playing most often, Jund and Storm. Eliminating them will open up the format.
 
Of special interest to MTGO players, the B&R list for Pauper also expanded a bit. Wizards banned three cards: Empty the Warrens, Grapeshot, and Invigorate are gone. That kills a couple of the really fast, really annoying archetypes, and should mean the format revolves around Mono-blue control, combo snap and the Hexproof Auras decks – although maybe zoo or goblins can make a comeback.     
 
The bannings will go into effect on MTGO after the February 6th downtime.  
 
How Many Force of Wills?:  The MOCS preliminaries are over. 839 players entered the four events. Presumably, an unknown additional number of Force of Wills were awarded to people who had 15 or more points, but did not play in a qualifier, plus the FoWs given out to high finishers. I would estimate between 1,500 and 2,000 Force of Wills entered the system as a result of the MOCs.  That should push the price of FoW down, at least a bit. 
 
Wizards to Host Walk-through of New Client: Worth Wolpert, Ryan Spain and Chris Kiritz will have hosted a webinar on the new client. They will have streamed the walk-through, and should have taken questions. A recording of the event should be available on the Wizards Twitch TV channel. (It is really awkward to write about an event that is in the future was I write this, but will have happened by the time the article is posted.) Whatever: details are here.  
 
Huge Update to New Client: A big part of this downtime was an update to the client that supposedly fixed a large number of bugs. These appear to be general fixes, and not the trade and chat upgrade we have been promised. Hopefully, that is not far off.
 
Gatecrash Prerelease and Release Event Coming Next Week:  The online Gatecrash prerelease events start February 8th at 10:00am PDT. The prereleases will be the same as the RtR prereleases: you choose your guild and get 5 normal Gatecrash boosters plus one guild specific booster. Details here.
 
MTGO Cube is Here: As Wizards promised, during the slack time between the paper prerelease and the Gatecrash online prerelease, we will be drafting the MTGO Cube. The cube is not powered this time around – it reverts to the build used at the Community Cup Championship last year. Details here
 
HammyBot: Still here! HammyBot was created to sell the late Erik Friborg’s MTGO collection to raise money for his widow and son. HammyBot is a great way to get cards while supporting the family of someone who supported the community. Here’s an update on the Bot, plus a note on a cool card that I saw on HammyBot.  Note that we have broken the $5k barrier.  Onward and upward!
 
            Cards left on HammyBot: 28,044
TIX raised so far:  5,064
            Cool HammyBot card of the week:  Cascade Bluffs
 
Modern is a thing, and is going to continue to be a thing.  The lands will always be valuable.  The first set to own are the shocklands, of course, followed by the fetchlands.  After that, if you want to play color intensive decks, get the filter lands from Lorwyn block.  Hammiebot has most of them, at reasonable prices.
 

Battling with the New Interface

Each week I intend to record a video of me doing something using the beta interface. This week, though, I am skipping it this week. My lag problems are apparently not typical, and I have been working with Wizards to try and figure out the problem. Until we do, I don’t want to give the new interface a undeservedly bad rap.
 

Cutting Edge Tech:

Standard: With a bit over a week to go before everything changes, I’m not going to waste time on old Standard. It is still amazingly diverse, but it’s time to brew new decks. 
 
Return to Ravnica Block Constructed: Gatecrash is here, in paper at least. I’m going to hold off until it appears. RtR only decks are old news.
 
Pauper: With the bannings, the format may change a bit. Some things will remain the same.  This deck – a Cloudpost based control build – will still be here when Empty the Warrens is gone. 
 
 
Modern: With the bannings, Modern will change a bit. If you want to play Jund, play it – Bloodbraid Elf is replaceable, with a number of cards that are only slight downgrades. If you would rather play combo, try this. Just remember to change the Grapeshot in the sideboard to another secondary win condition. There are plenty – even Laboratory Maniac has done well as a kill condition in this deck.    
 
Eggs / Second Sunrise
Corrado, Winner, Modern Premier #4940435 on 01/28/2013
Creatures
0 cards

Other Spells
4 Chromatic Sphere
4 Chromatic Star
4 Conjurer's Bauble
3 Elsewhere Flask
4 Faith's Reward
1 Gitaxian Probe
4 Lotus Bloom
1 Pyrite Spellbomb
4 Reshape
4 Second Sunrise
4 Serum Visions
3 Silence
3 Sleight of Hand
43 cards
 
Lands
4 Ghost Quarter
1 Hallowed Fountain
6 Island
3 Misty Rainforest
1 Plains
1 Scalding Tarn
1 Steam Vents
17 cards

Second Sunrise
 
Legacy: The MOCs preliminaries were last weekend. A number of interesting archetypes were displayed, but this one went 6-0 in the hands of a couple different players.   RUG Delver has been a thing in Legacy for a while, and if you are looking to use those new Force of Wills, this is a good option.
 
RUG Delver
craft_0830 ,6-0, Legacy MOCS #4940263 on 01/27/2013
Creatures
4 Delver of Secrets
4 Nimble Mongoose
4 Tarmogoyf
12 cards

Other Spells
4 Brainstorm
4 Daze
4 Force of Will
4 Lightning Bolt
4 Ponder
2 Spell Pierce
2 Spell Snare
4 Stifle
2 Thought Scour
30 cards
 
Lands
4 Flooded Strand
3 Misty Rainforest
1 Scalding Tarn
3 Tropical Island
3 Volcanic Island
4 Wasteland
18 cards

Nimble Mongoose

 

Classic: No Classic events fired this week. On the plus side, Round Three of the Classic Quarter Invitational will start soon. Details when they are available. 

Card Prices:  

Notes: All my prices come from MTGOTraders.com. For cards that are available in multiple sets, I am quoting the most recent set’s price. Thus, the price I’m quoting for Garruk Relentless is from M13. These cards are also available from the MTGOTraders Bots,  so check out mtgotradersbot, mtgotradersbot2,mtgotradersbot3, mtgotradersbot4, mtgotradersbot5, CardCaddy and CardWareHouse. These Bots often have the cards in stock even when the online store shows as out. Now, on to prices.
 
Standard prices are adjusting as people start brewing decks with Gatecrash. I have also fixed Restoration Angel – as one astute reader noted, I had started pulling the price for the promo version. I am using the price for the regular version now. 
 
Standard & Block Cards
Price
Last Week
Change
% Change
$32.47
$29.16
$3.31
11%
$8.82
$8.82
$0.00
0%
$8.45
$8.88
($0.43)
-5%
$38.15
$33.44
$4.71
14%
$9.81
$10.15
($0.34)
-3%
$34.07
$31.75
$2.32
7%
$17.52
$17.52
$0.00
0%
$12.61
$15.77
($3.16)
-20%
$11.06
$11.12
($0.06)
-1%
$16.74
$18.17
($1.43)
-8%
$17.36
$16.78
$0.58
3%
$13.63
$14.86
($1.23)
-8%
$22.73
$24.30
($1.57)
-6%
$30.77
$31.58
($0.81)
-3%
$14.27
$13.17
$1.10
8%
$21.13
$22.05
($0.92)
-4%
$11.61
$10.03
$1.58
16%
$7.82
$6.90
$0.92
13%
$8.17
$9.56
($1.39)
-15%
$9.52
$11.11
($1.59)
-14%
$3.67
$3.80
($0.13)
-3%
$12.12
$10.23
$1.89
18%
$4.82
$5.09
($0.27)
-5%
$16.87
$15.53
$1.34
9%
$9.30
$8.78
$0.52
6%
$6.93
$6.47
$0.46
7%
$13.97
$13.66
$0.31
2%
Modern prices gave up more recent gains. The exception are the Legacy cards that were heavily played in the MOCS, like Vendilion Clique. Cards from other second string decks, like Robots, are also dropping in price.
 
Modern Cards
Price
Last Week
Change
% Change
$70.69
$74.12
($3.43)
-5%
$45.21
$38.73
$6.48
17%
$18.43
$18.43
$0.00
0%
$17.00
$17.00
$0.00
0%
$13.18
$14.45
($1.27)
-9%
$28.81
$28.81
$0.00
0%
$22.94
$19.71
$3.23
16%
$17.71
$15.80
$1.91
12%
$15.37
$15.81
($0.44)
-3%
$20.12
$23.61
($3.49)
-15%
$24.38
$26.45
($2.07)
-8%
$21.12
$22.00
($0.88)
-4%
Emrakul, the Aeons Torn
$13.64
$12.65
$0.99
8%
$9.12
$9.12
$0.00
0%
$6.18
$6.25
($0.07)
-1%
$9.17
$9.79
($0.62)
-6%
$6.93
$8.42
($1.49)
-18%
$16.93
$16.93
$0.00
0%
$20.80
$20.47
$0.33
2%
$20.55
$21.09
($0.54)
-3%
$10.34
$10.68
($0.34)
-3%
$12.44
$12.44
$0.00
0%
$22.43
$23.05
($0.62)
-3%
$8.42
$9.28
($0.86)
-9%
$9.76
$10.38
($0.62)
-6%
$10.91
$14.04
($3.13)
-22%
$9.13
$10.03
($0.90)
-9%
Cascade Bluffs
$20.27
$20.27
$0.00
0%
Legacy and Classic prices are much more stable than Modern prices. This week, though, the MOCS had an impact – first pushing up demand, then driving it down as players sold out again. Show and Tell is the big winner. 
 
Legacy / Classic Cards
Price
Last Week
Change
% Change
$72.50
$83.90
($11.40)
-14%
$98.92
$96.17
$2.75
3%
Vampiric Tutor
$28.55
$28.55
$0.00
0%
$28.37
$29.83
($1.46)
-5%
$70.54
$70.54
$0.00
0%
$53.72
$54.25
($0.53)
-1%
$25.16
$25.16
$0.00
0%
$27.71
$25.81
$1.90
7%
$24.45
$21.99
$2.46
11%
$22.15
$22.15
$0.00
0%
$50.26
$39.98
$10.28
26%
$9.27
$9.27
$0.00
0%
$12.45
$12.45
$0.00
0%
$19.48
$19.68
($0.20)
-1%
$16.36
$16.36
$0.00
0%
$39.15
$36.40
$2.75
8%
$16.00
$13.22
$2.78
21%
$25.21
$25.21
$0.00
0%
$13.10
$13.10
$0.00
0%
$8.08
$8.08
$0.00
0%
$35.35
$36.27
($0.92)
-3%
$32.46
$26.68
$5.78
22%
$8.44
$9.39
($0.95)
-10%
$65.10
$65.10
$0.00
0%
$39.15
$35.94
$3.21
9%
$9.84
$8.94
$0.90
10%
$9.37
$9.83
($0.46)
-5%
$16.32
$16.32
$0.00
0%
$9.35
$9.43
($0.08)
-1%
In Pauper, prices are rising, almost across the board. A lot of the cards going down are either in banned decks (e.g Lotus Petal and Cabal Ritual), or were mainly hate against those decks Benevolent Unicorn. It will take some time for the prices to shake out.
 

Pauper Cards
Price
Last Week
Change
% Change
$2.63
$2.91
($0.28)
-10%
$3.05
$2.74
$0.31
11%
$1.03
$1.44
($0.41)
-28%
$2.81
$2.53
$0.28
11%
$4.14
$4.44
($0.30)
-7%
$5.05
$5.55
($0.50)
-9%
$4.75
$8.68
($3.93)
-45%
$5.00
$9.43
($4.43)
-47%
$1.78
$2.38
($0.60)
-25%
$8.42
$7.43
$0.99
13%
$0.80
$1.61
($0.81)
-50%
$1.62
$1.70
($0.08)
-5%
$9.50
$8.93
$0.57
6%
$3.86
$3.06
$0.80
26%
$3.54
$3.84
($0.30)
-8%
$1.69
$1.69
$0.00
0%
$2.94
$3.16
($0.22)
-7%
$2.35
$2.51
($0.16)
-6%
$1.95
$2.13
($0.18)
-8%
$4.48
$4.14
$0.34
8%
$1.10
$1.10
$0.00
0%
$2.06
$1.97
$0.09
5%
$4.39
$5.57
($1.18)
-21%

 

The Good Stuff:

Here’s this week’s list of the non-foil, non-premium cards on MTGO that cost more than $25 each. Note the Force of Will has fallen again, but Goyf fell just enough to keep pace. The list itself has shrunk – but we have eight cards over $50.  Here’s this week’s list of MTGO gold:
 

Card
Rarity
Set
 Price
Lion's Eye Diamond
R
MI
 $    98.92
Force of Will
R
MED
 $    72.50
Tarmogoyf
R
FUT
 $    70.69
Jace, the Mind Sculptor
M
WWK
 $    70.54
Force of Will
R
PRM
 $    66.63
Rishadan Port
R
MM
 $    65.10
Wasteland
U
TE
 $    53.72
Show and Tell
R
UZ
 $    50.26
Vendilion Clique
R
MOR
 $    45.21
Gaea's Cradle
R
UZ
 $    39.15
Misdirection
R
MM
 $    39.15
Geist of Saint Traft
M
ISD
 $    38.15
Mutavault
R
PRM
 $    37.29
Tangle Wire
R
NE
 $    35.35
Bonfire of the Damned
M
AVR
 $    34.07
Liliana of the Veil
M
ISD
 $    32.47
Flusterstorm
R
CMD
 $    32.46
Underground Sea
R
ME2
 $    31.04
Thundermaw Hellkite
M
M13
 $    30.77
Linvala, Keeper of Silence
M
ROE
 $    28.81
Vampiric Tutor
R
VI
 $    28.55
Underground Sea
R
ME4
 $    28.37
Vindicate
R
AP
 $    27.71
Mishra's Workshop
R
ME4
 $    25.21
Null Rod
R
WL
 $    25.16

The big number is the retail price of a playset (4 copies) of every non-foil card available on MTGO.  Assuming you bought the least expensive version available, the cost of owning a playset of every card on MTGO you can own is $22,297.  Down a couple hundred bucks again this week – but wait until Gatecrash arrives…
 

Weekly Highlights:

Last weekend, the prereleases went well. I played in one, and judged others. The set looks pretty good.   As for the rest of the week – not so exciting. I have been sick this week with a really annoying cold. Fatigue, runny nose and no sense of taste. I won the one draft I managed to get into, but most of the week when I got home from work, I fell asleep at the keyboard. On the plus side, I have been working on a Gatecrash prerelease primer. It should be done soon.
 
PRJ
 
“one million words” on MTGO.

15 Comments

CQ League - QT #3 by enderfall at Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:31
enderfall's picture

The details for QT #3 of the Classic Quarter League can be found here:

http://www.classicquarter.com/forum/forum_posts.asp?TID=4889

thanks! by one million words at Fri, 02/01/2013 - 20:10
one million words's picture

Thanks for the link. I had checked, but this week I got busy / lazy.

Peeps - go there, register, play Classic.

Benevolent Unicorn, there's a by KaraZorEl at Fri, 02/01/2013 - 14:01
KaraZorEl's picture

Benevolent Unicorn, there's a new one.

Did that card even have any by RexDart at Fri, 02/01/2013 - 14:31
RexDart's picture

Did that card even have any use apart from sideboard against Storm?

It seems like a terrific by KaraZorEl at Fri, 02/01/2013 - 15:42
KaraZorEl's picture

It seems like a terrific Grapeshot hoser, but other than that, I can't think of what it would be good against.

As far as I know, it was used by RexDart at Fri, 02/01/2013 - 16:02
RexDart's picture

As far as I know, it was used only in the sideboards of White Weenie against Grapeshot. Since pauper storm was banished from the land this week, I would expect the price of Benevolent Unicorn to plummet to about $0.02 in short order. Although, I suppose it still shuts down Mogg Fanatics and Icatian Javelineers, but I don't know pauper well enough to tell if that's enough to keep it around in the format.

Something that would probably by xger at Fri, 02/01/2013 - 14:25
xger's picture

Something that would probably be worth mentioning: Some details for Dragon's Maze have been released and of particular note is there will be no basic lands. The guildgates and *shocklands* will replace them. Expect the prices of the shocklands to be heavily depressed.

That makes no sense at by Paul Leicht at Fri, 02/01/2013 - 15:42
Paul Leicht's picture

That makes no sense at all...3rd sets of a cycle rarely have basic lands. None of the shocklands or guild gate lands for that matter will be in Dragon Maze either...they are in the two prior sets as we have known all along.

Paul, Wizards announced by RexDart at Fri, 02/01/2013 - 15:53
RexDart's picture

Paul, Wizards announced earlier this week that the basic land slot of each booster will be replaced in DGM with one nonbasic land. This slot is kind of like the way each INN pack had a flip-card in it, and rare and mythic rares will show up in this slot presumably about as often as they did in that. They said the rares that can show in that slot will be the shocklands, and the mythic rare is a new land as yet unspoiled from DGM.

Now that at least is more by Paul Leicht at Fri, 02/01/2013 - 16:16
Paul Leicht's picture

Now that at least is more complete information. Is there a link to this announcement somewhere? I don't recall seeing it in the MTGO groups or on the main site.

I am not sure if this will depress shocklands anymore than normal but it will definitely make them more accessible for a while.

However my thinking on this is that it will be pretty rare to get a good land as opposed to one already readily available so playing the lottery with this will probably a not worthwhile event.

==edit==

and here is the link:

http://www.wizards.com/Magic/Magazine/Article.aspx?x=mtg/daily/arcana/1156

Videos by Lagrange at Sun, 02/03/2013 - 05:38
Lagrange's picture
5

I hope your connection problem is only temporary. I liked your videos on the new interface. Very informative and, I guess, very much in the spirit of Erik F.

You should probably remove by Bliven731 at Tue, 02/05/2013 - 11:31
Bliven731's picture

You should probably remove invigorate from the pauper list. I suggest adding ancestral mask.

soon - not yet by one million words at Thu, 02/07/2013 - 00:22
one million words's picture

I want to leave it in for a couple more weeks, to track it as it falls. Buy adding mask is a good idea.

It would still see use in by Elbinac at Thu, 02/07/2013 - 00:28
Elbinac's picture

It would still see use in legacy infect no?

yes, but by one million words at Thu, 02/07/2013 - 10:30
one million words's picture

It will, but the number of Legacy players running infect is a lot lower, and many of them already have the card. The price should continue to crash for a while, then drift back up a few months from now. The future price will probably top out at a buck or two, nowhere near the old highs.