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By: romellos, A. Atasoy
Jul 08 2015 12:04pm
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Hello everyone and welcome to the second part of the Magic Origins financial set review series. Last week, I mentioned that I hoped to see some new tribal cards. In that regard, I'm glad that we get some exciting additions at Elf, Goblin and Merfolk ranks. But, that's not all!

Chandra's origin story unexpectedly touches some of the underdog tribes. The long forgotten, yet still freely flying after all those years; thopters...

                       Ornithopter  Ornithopter  Ornithopter

There is a heavy thopter support at blue and red, mostly for the limited formats. We might even see some rogue decks in Standard that are shaped around this new thopter theme with Ensoul Artifact and Shrapnel Blast. Now is the best time to unleash the mad scientist inside us!

Regardless of this entertaining deck possibility, the time is passing and I should get back on track and continue to review these new cards with a financial perspective.

Vryn Wingmare  Thalia, Guardian of Thraben  Glowrider

I don't know you, but I'm really thrilled for Vryn Wingmare.  I see it as an improved Glowrider for the Modern format. The combination of Thalia, Guardian of Thraben and Vryn Wingmare can heavily punish some decks with lower land quantity, such as Delver or Burn. In Standard, this pegasus can easily find a place in white weenie decks or in the sideboard of Abzan aggro decks.

My price expectation for Vryn Wingmare will be around 0.25 to 0.40 tix in the mid-term with a possibility to hit 1.00-1.50 tix ranges within a specific meta bubble. 

Hallowed Moonlight  Containment Priest

Hallowed Moonlight is one of the few cards in Magic Origins that will immediately make an impact on the Modern meta. Basically, Hallowed Moonlight will hose any of the Æther Vial, Collected Company, Chord of Calling, Goryo's Vengeance, Through the Breach and tokens strategies. And more importantly, this package comes with a cantrip bonus. Hallowed Moonlight will definitely find a place in many sideboards. Or, it may see some main deck play in a certain meta. Containment Priest might be too powerful for the current Modern format. Until that time, Hallowed Moonlight will close that gap in the Modern.

I think we may also see some action from Hallowed Moonlight in Standard format, against graveyard, Collected Company or a possible See the Unwritten (with Dragons or Eldrazi ?) approach.

My price estimation for Hallowed Moonlight will be around at 0.75 to 1.00 tix ranges. If it becomes hot in Standard be ready to see at least the double of my initial price expectation.   

Tragic Arrogance  Cataclysm

At first glance, Tragic Arrogance may seem like a functional reprint of Cataclysm. But it is not. There is no room for an Armageddon in this modern era. Without the land destruction, Tragic Arrogance will be just another bulk sweeper.

I expect to see Tragic Arrogance within 0.05 to 0.15 tix price ranges.

Gideon’s Phalanx  Revel of the Fallen God

When I looked to the future of Gideon’s Phalanx, I only see the past of Revel of the Fallen God. A bulk rare with 0.05 tix value.

Disciple of the Ring  Ætherling

Disciple of the Ring seems like an interesting experiment to discover the next generation of Morphling.  I don't see how Disciple of the Ring can outclass big brother Ætherling with her downside.  Removing an instant or sorcery card with each activation is a real downer. 

Disciple of the Ring will be a bulk mythic card with 0.50 to 1.00 tix value.

Soulblade Djinn 

Soulblade Djinn is going to be excellent in limited formats as a prowess lord. That's about its playability. A bulk rare with 0.01 tix value.

Willbreaker  Dack Fayden

Let's be blunt. Willbreaker is a bulk card. The only interesting thing about her is the similarity with Dack Fayden's ultimate. Both of these effects are very tricky to efficiently utilize. That's why I feel Willbreaker will be a casual card.

Thopter Spy Network  Bitterblossom

Thopter Spy Network is a fixed Bitterblossom with a Coastal Piracy bonus. This card might be too slow for the Modern format, yet it is good enough to impact Standard within U/R artifact or Control decks with Darksteel Citadel. At least it will be fun to test it.

My price expectation for Thopter Spy Network will be around 0.15 to 0.30 tix ranges.

Liliana, Heretical Healer  Liliana, Defiant Necromancer

I think, Liliana, Heretical Healer // Liliana, Defiant Necromancer is the most balanced one, based on her creature and planeswalker sides. Her creature version is among the top two, together with Kytheon, Hero of Akros.  Her planeswalker side is also quite powerful at disruption and graveyard recursion.

Basically, you can include Liliana, Heretical Healer // Liliana, Defiant Necromancer to every aggressive, midrange or whip decks. She will still perform quite well in many of these different deck approaches. Liliana, Heretical Healer with Lifelink will be also a good answer against the Red aggressive decks. 

Liliana, Heretical Healer // Liliana, Defiant Necromancer is clearly a powerful creature and planeswalker that will impact the Standard format.  She is even good enough to see some play in the Modern format, maybe as a budget replacement for Liliana of the Veil ? My price expectation for Liliana, Heretical Healer // Liliana, Defiant Necromancer will be at 7.50 to 8.50 tix ranges.

Priest of the Blood Rite

Priest of the Blood Rite is definitely a strong card within its specifications.  Its five cmc is a huge barrier to make this card playable within the competitive Standard format.

I expect to see Priest of the Blood Rite at 0.05 to 0.15 tix ranges.

Erebos’s Titan  Phyrexian Obliterator

Erebos’s Titan reminds me Phyrexian Obliterator in certain ways. Erebos’s Titan may not be at the same level in a matter of punishment, but its raw power and recursion frequency is good enough to make this card a viable candidate in Standard. Erebos’s Titan can beat every competitor at four cmc range; Siege Rhino for example, except Polukranos, World Eater. Its devotion to black contribution is also a huge plus point that we should consider with Gray Merchant of Asphodel.

Overall, Erebos’s Titan is a decent option for many different decks. My price estimation for Erebos’s Titan will be around 2.50 to 3.00 tix range.

Graveblade Marauder

These days, warriors are everywhere.  If warrior tribe could manage to be a competitive deck during this summer, Graveblade Marauder will definitely be there. 

In the end, there are lots of "if" factors without much positive action. My price expectation for Graveblade Marauder will be around 0.15 to 0.30 tix.

Infinite Obliteration  Memoricide

Personally, I don't see any reason to hype Infinite Obliteration. This is another Memoricide variant that will only see play as a sideboard card. That fact will limit its price range to 0.25 to 0.40 tix.

Abbot of Keral Keep  Ire Shaman  Commune with Lava

I liked how the red color utilized the Elkin Bottle effect. Isn't Abbot of Keral Keep a bit overkill here, after we just got Ire Shaman and Commune with Lava in Dragons of Tarkir.

Prowess on Abbot of Keral Keep makes him a relevant candidate for Standard red decks, yet I would prefer to Ire Shaman instead of him for consistency matters. I expect to see this card with a price between 0.15 to 0.25 tix.

Embermaw Hellion

Embermaw Hellion is a pure bulk card for limited formats and that's all about it.

Chandra, Fire of Kaladesh  Chandra, Roaring Flame

Chandra, Fire of Kaladesh // Chandra, Roaring Flame is a decent card for Standard. Even in Standard, I can't clearly say that every red deck  will include her. Chandra, Fire of Kaladesh will require a certain sligh deck approach with lots of cheap creatures and burn spells below three cmc range in order to maintain the tempo. She doesn't have a Haste or any other merits that immediately impact to the board. As a best case scenario, she can be only relevant as of turn four. 

Based on these points, I expect to see Chandra, Fire of Kaladesh // Chandra, Roaring Flame with 3.00 to 4.00 tix price tag in the mid-term.

Goblin Piledriver  Goblin Rabblemaster

Goblin Piledriver is clearly one of the best goblin cards ever printed. Its power level is above the standards that we're used to. In Standard, Goblin Piledriver will be a great mate with Goblin Rabblemaster to assemble a Goblin tribal deck around. Currently, we have all the tools to form this deck.

Regardless of that, I wonder more about how Goblin Piledriver will perform in the Modern format. There is huge diversity in the Modern format, and one thing for sure is that Goblins will definitely make the format more unpredictable. Here is my test deck that I'm looking forward to play with.

Goblins
a test deck for Modern format by romellos
Creatures
4 Goblin Guide
4 Legion Loyalist
2 Warren Instigator
3 Mogg War Marshal
4 Goblin Piledriver
3 Goblin Rabblemaster
4 Goblin Chieftain
1 Krenko, Mob Boss
4 Simian Spirit Guide
29 cards

Other Spells
4 Aether Vial
4 Lightning Bolt
4 Goblin Grenade
12 cards
 
Lands
19 Mountain
19 cards

Goblin Piledriver

 

The price evaluation of Goblin Piledriver obviously will depend on its both performance results in Standard and Modern formats. In that regard, I can only predict with some past references and deck possibilites. Based on this limited information, my short term estimation for Goblin Piledriver will be around 6.00 to 7.00 tix due to huge demand. But, Schrödinger's cat will be in the mid-term. Goblin Rabblemaster will rotate out and at the same time Battle for Zendikar will join the game. If we see a reprint of Goblin Guide or a few other competitive goblins there, it will be a different story. Long story short, in mid-term Goblin Piledriver will either be a 3.00-3.50 tix or 10+ tix card.

Goblin Glory Chaser  Goblin Guide

Goblin Glory Chaser will be a good aggressive enabler for Standard Goblin or RDW decks. Once it is renown, Goblin Glory Chaser can be a better Goblin Guide with the menace. I hope to see both of them together after the rotation.

Molten Vortex

Modern Burn decks are constantly evolving. We see any one of Rakdos, Boros, Izzet, Naya, Jund and Mardu combinations with slightly different interpretations.  In that regard, Molten Vortex is a good candidate to include in the Burn deck. I'm not talking about two or more copies, but only one. A silver bullet of Molten Vortex in a main deck can be very useful to turn our redundant lands into a Shock. Molten Vortex may also see some Standard play with the same approach.  

My price expectation for Molten Vortex will be around 0.15 to 0.25 tix ranges.

Scab-Clan Berserker  Eidolon of the Great Revel

Eidolon of the Great Revel has already become a staple card in every Modern and Legacy Burn decks. Currently its price has passed the 22 tix range. That is a huge restriction for budget players. 

In that regard, Scab-Clan Berserker can be a suitable budget substitute for Eidolon of the Great Revel. Scab-Clan Berserker is not at the same power level as Eidolon of the Great Revel, but it's better that nothing. Once you managed to renown her, she will surpass the red spirit.

My price expectation for Scab-Clan Berserker will be around 0.15 to 0.25 tix. Get your copies.

Honored Hierarch  Noble Hierarch  Steward of Valeron

Like Scab-Clan Berserker, Honored Hierarch is also a renown version of the very well-known Noble Hierarch. On the other hand, Honored Hierarch won't contribute any mana acceleration until he manages to deal a combat damage to a player. Technically, this seems plausible during early turns, where he might become a Steward of Valeron that can be tapped for one mana of any color. But, drawing or playing Honored Hierarch during mid or late game stages will just make it worse. A 1/1 with no ability can only be good to chump block something there.

On the other hand, Honored Hierarch seems as a good candidate for some kind of aggressive G/W, G/R or Abzan decks in the Standard. And in Modern, there are lots of better options than him. Currently, Noble Hierarch is wandering around at a more reasonable price (8.00-8.50 tix) range than before. You can always play with Birds of Paradise (2.00 to 3.00 tix) instead.

If you're a budget player and looking to play an aggressive mana dork instead of Avacyn's Pilgrim or Llanowar Elves, Honored Hierarch will cover that spot for you.

Personally, I like its potential as a humble budget card for multiple formats. Based on all these minus and plus points, my price expectation for Honored Hierarch will be around 0.35 to 0.50 tix.

Animist’s Awakening  Explosive Vegetation  Nissa’s Pilgrimage

Animist’s Awakening seems like a card that is promising a lot, but doing so little. Technically, you can get on average two lands, when cast for the total five mana (4G). It is not really worth it, when we have better options in Standard like; Explosive Vegetation, Nissa’s Pilgrimage or even Frontier Siege for more diversity.

I expect to see Animist’s Awakening around 0.15 to 0.30 tix ranges.

Gaea’s Revenge

Gaea's Revenge is a very strong anti-Control card. It was a mythic card in M11 core set and saw play as a sideboard card, back then. I expect no less from it this time too. Currently, we can't say that control decks are dominating the meta, as they used to be. Still, haste and the non-green hexproof on Gaea's Revenge can be very handy against every midrange decks.

My price estimation for Gaea's Revenge will be at 0.25 to 0.40 tix range.

Pyromancer’s Goggles  Jaya Ballard, Task Mage

So, Chandra's goggles are actually Jaya Ballards. I give five stars for the flavor of it. Regardless of that, Pyromancer’s Goggles seems like a pure combo card for Pyromancer Ascension type decks. Luckily, this is a legendary card. Otherwise, it could get broken very fast with the multiple ones in play. Until then, Pyromancer’s Goggles will mostly be a bulk mythic card with 0.75 to 1.00 tix value.

With Pyromancer’s Goggles, I have reached to the end of part two. Next week, I will wrap up the financial review of Magic Origins with an enchantment matter more than Theros, Jace, Nissa, lots of elves, a bear with antlers and a question about survival and evolution. Thanks for reading and see you with the third and final part.

1 Comments

Hallowed Moonlight: Did you by Kumagoro42 at Fri, 07/10/2015 - 01:31
Kumagoro42's picture
5

Hallowed Moonlight: Did you notice that, unlike Containment Priest, it kills Marit Lage? (Or any token, really. It's great in response to stuff like Hornet Queen or Timely Reinforcements).