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By: TheWolf, Shane Garvey
Oct 25 2016 11:00am
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 MAGIC ONLINE METAGAME ANALYSIS: WEEK ENDING OCTOBER 23, 2016

If you are interested in following the metagame of various formats and tracking which decks are doing well, and which decks you will likely face on Magic Online, you have come to the right place. This article series brings you all the stats from Magic Online so you can prepare for the meta, no matter the format you like to play.

Now, it should be noted that all the stats presented here are solely from Magic Online – it ignores Grand Prix, SCG Opens and Pro Tours. The reason is that the Magic Online metagame is often different to what you will find in paper tournaments. For example, last season, mono-white humans was a top deck in the Leagues yet was largely missing from the top tables in paper.

The numbers are drawn from deck lists Wizards of the Coast publish for the Competitive Leagues on Magic Online or, in the case of the Vintage format, Daily events.

This week, we have our first post-Pro Tour results for the Standard metagame, so let’s take a look at how that event shook up Magic Online.

By the way: if you want to check out last week’s numbers, click here.

STANDARD

Last week, I predicted that we’d see a lot of people copying the top 8 decks from Pro Tour: Kaladesh and playing them in the Leagues, and predicted that Temur Aetherworks would see plenty of play. For reference, these were the top 8 decks:

Izzet Spells
Grixis Control
Jeskai Control
Mardu Vehicles
Boros Vehicles
Boros Tokens
Temur Aetherworks
Azorius Flash

I was completely wrong about Temur Aetherworks, due to the fact it’s expected and people are prepared for it. As for the rest of the decks, take a look:

Deck

Last Week Meta %

Previous Week Meta %

Season Meta %

Azorius Flash

18.31%

5.97%

10.98%

Boros Tokens

8.45%

1.49%

5.49%

Golgari Delirium

8.45%

8.96%

9.15%

Gruul Pummeler

8.45%

8.96%

8.54%

Boros Vehicles

7.04%

2.99%

5.49%

Rakdos Madness

5.63%

5.97%

4.88%

As you can see, Azorius Flash has been the stand out deck this week, after putting one player into the top 8 at Pro Tour: Kaladesh and having four people go 9-1 during the Standard portion of the event with it, the only four people to do so. It’s no surprise it has become popular; the deck is very strong, and even I played it at Game Day this past weekend to win the playmat.

I think this is probably the strongest deck in the format right now, and expect it will likely stay that way. The results it also put up at the two Grand Prix this weekend further cements this for me.

There are a couple of minor differences between a couple of the deck lists, but this is the one I played:

 

MODERN

Dredge continues to dominate this format, once again outpacing all other decks. In fact, it was double the next most popular deck, Affinity, which was the same as last week – seems Modern is becoming a bit more stable and a little less diverse than it has been. In addition, this is flowing into the paper metagame, with 9 out of the top 32 decks at the SCG event this week being Dredge.

Deck

Last Week Meta %

Previous Week Meta %

Season Meta %

Dredge

17.65%

16.18%

17.86%

Affinity

8.82%

8.82%

7.14%

Bant Eldrazi

5.88%

4.41%

4.76%

Eldrazi & Taxes

5.88%

1.47%

3.57%

Infect

5.88%

5.88%

5.95%

It’s a bit of a shame Dredge is dominating like it is; last season, the Modern metagame was completely unpredictable, which made it an exciting format. Right now, though, you know you have to prepare for Dredge and Affinity, so pack that graveyard and artifact hate!

To know what you are up against, here is a Dredge deck list for your perusal: 

 

PAUPER

Different week, same old story. Izzet Drake is still the main deck, and it will probably stay that way until it is kicked out of the format. 

Deck

Last Week Meta %

Previous Week Meta %

Season Meta %

Izzet Drake

29.55%

28.57%

26.98%

Delver

20.45%

7.94%

13.49%

Affinity

15.91%

6.35%

9.52%

Stompy

9.09%

6.35%

10.32%

White Weenie

9.09%

3.17%

5.56%

It’s becoming very clear Wizards of the Coast made a mistake not banning Drake. Frankly, Pauper is becoming a boring format. I have stopped playing it, and it was my favourite constructed format. There is not much more to say that hasn’t been already said about this, so let’s leave it at that.

I’m not going to show you Drake again this week (you can see last week’s article for that). Instead, take a look at the second most popular deck, Delver:

Delver
- 75 Cards Total
Creature
4 Delver of Secrets
4 Faerie Miscreant
4 Ninja of the Deep Hours
4 Spellstutter Sprite
4 Spire Golem
20 cards

Instant
4 Counterspell
2 Daze
2 Deprive
2 Gush
4 Snap
14 cards

Sorcery
4 Ponder
4 Preordain
8 cards
Artifact
1 Bonesplitter
1 cards
 
Land
17 Island
17 cards

Sideboard
3 Annul
2 Aura Flux
2 Coral Net
2 Curfew
1 Curse of Chains
3 Hydroblast
2 Stormbound Geist
15 cards


LEGACY

Wizards published 35 lists this week, which is the same as last week, so we get some good data to look at. 

Deck

Last Week Meta %

Previous Week Meta %

Season Meta %

Miracles

17.15%

14.29%

18.99%

Eldrazi Stompy

14.29%

8.57%

10.13%

Grixis Delver

11.43%

5.71%

7.59%

Omni-Tell

11.43%

0%

5.06%

Sneak and Show

8.57%

0%

3.8%

Once again Miracles is on top, with Eldrazi Stompy not far behind it. Miracles was also 3 of the top 8 decks at last weekend’s Bazaar of Moxen event in Europe. It clearly is the best deck in the format, and has been for a little while.

The Eldrazi Stompy deck though is hot on its heels, and is worth taking a look at:


VINTAGE

We are starting to develop a picture of what the Vintage metagame looks like after three weeks of data; next week I’ll present all the data so far. What I can tell you is that, right now, Ravager Shops is the deck to beat.

Sweet Brew

However, what I really want to talk about is this awesome brew that turned up in the top 8 of the Bazaar of Moxen Vintage event over the weekend:


Vehicles are showing up in Vintage! Fleetwheel Cruiser and Skysovereign, Consul Flagship both make an appearance in this deck, and even Inventor’s Fair gets a run as a one of. It’s great to see new cards showing up in the oldest of formats.

UNTIL NEXT WEEK...

What is starting to become clear is that there is a “best deck” developing in each format. Azorius Flash in Standard, Dredge in Modern, Izzet Drake in Pauper and Miracles in Legacy. At the very least, this means, no matter which format you play, you should probably either be playing that deck or planning to beat that deck.

Until next week, good luck and have fun!

Twitter: @The_Wolf_MTG
MTGO: The_Wolf